The Forecast Fallacy: Why Management Guidance Has Lost Its Predictive Power — and What Institutions Are Doing About It
Corporate earnings guidance was once the cornerstone of institutional forecasting — a direct channel from management to market. Today, a growing cohort of sophisticated investors treats official projections with open skepticism, building independent analytical frameworks that deliberately discount what companies tell them. PLS Reporter investigates why forward guidance has become one of the least reliable instruments in the modern investor's toolkit, and what its degradation reveals about the in
Aug 24, 2026