Open House seats could play big role in Democratic gains

Open House seats could play big role in Democratic gains

Projections made a week out from Election Day by one state election modeler give Democrats a one-in-seven chance of flipping the state House.

That’s a decrease from an earlier projection made by Carl Klarner, a former Indiana State political science professor. Formerly, his model, based off of previous election results and other measurables, gave Democrats a little less than a one-in-four chance.
Monday, November 5, 2018/Author: Stephen Caruso
Doorbells ring, candidates rally and voters decide to split or not to split ahead of Tuesday

Doorbells ring, candidates rally and voters decide to split or not to split ahead of Tuesday

Knocking on doors is tedious in Upper Mount Bethel, a sleepy rural township of almost 7,000. But as dusk falls on Friday, Amy Cozze’s minivan pulls up to a wooden home, and she hops out to meet another voter.

The 35-year-old baker and breast cancer survivor is trying to flip the seat from red to blue while facing an entrenched incumbent. Rep. Joe Emrick (R-Northampton) has served since winning in 2010, during the Tea Party movement that took over Congress and state Houses across the country. Since then, no Democrat has broken 40 percent of the vote again him.


But Cozze is one of the Democrats running to try and win power back, hoping that enthusiasm, the top of the ballot, and some door-to-door coaxing of ticket splitting Democrats can bring results, while Republicans look to leverage a growing economy to hold their ground.
Sunday, November 4, 2018/Author: Stephen Caruso
Categories: News and Views
Turzai faces Skopov, Williams battles Shaffer at candidate forum

Turzai faces Skopov, Williams battles Shaffer at candidate forum

Two sets of candidates in top-tier state races traded blows Thursday night at a forum in the northern Pittsburgh suburbs.

For the 38th Senate District, Democratic candidate Lindsey Williams and Republican Jeremy Shaffer debated for the first half, while in the 28th House District, Speaker of the House Mike Turzai faced off with challenger Emily Skopov on questions around gun control, redistricting and education spending.
Saturday, November 3, 2018/Author: Stephen Caruso
Democrats need one Senate pickup to break the supermajority. Will it come from the southeast?

Democrats need one Senate pickup to break the supermajority. Will it come from the southeast?

If Marguerite Quinn wins in November, she knows it’ll be by a whisker.

The six-term state representative is running on her resume to fill the seat of retiring Sen. Chuck McIlhinney (R-Bucks). But the reliably Republican district is the focus of massive Democratic energy to finalize a liberal trend that can be traced back years, according to some state politicos.

Quinn, a moderate Republican who proudly asserts her ability to save taxpayer money and work in a bipartisan fashion, is running on her resume—underlined by the passage of HB 2060 to limit domestic abusers' access to firearms early in October.

Wednesday, October 31, 2018/Author: Stephen Caruso
Categories: News and Views
Heavy lies the crown come November, as leadership record becomes campaign fodder

Heavy lies the crown come November, as leadership record becomes campaign fodder

The last time Mike Turzai, Jake Corman and Frank Dermody all faced challengers was 2010, when the House members were their caucuses’ whip, and Corman headed Appropriations.

Eight years later, all three have climbed to the very top of leadership—and are facing challengers channeling discontent with the status quo to try and knock them off.

“It doesn't matter if you’re Republican or Democrat. When we look at the issues, the same cast of characters aren’t working,” Joshua Nulph, Dermody’s 21-year-old challenger, said.

Monday, October 29, 2018/Author: Stephen Caruso
Categories: News and Views
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